April 29, 2023 at 01:41 pm. He threw 44.4% of his deep passes accurately, and three of his deep passes were dropped by his intended receiver. Stroud comes in as the most accurate of the top five quarterbacks. 2020 stats: 188/297, 63.3% completion, 2,282 yards passing, 19 touchdowns, 3 interceptions. April 30, 2023. Tua is third fastest in average time to throw at 2.48 seconds, behind only Ben Roethlisberger and Tom Brady; over 56 percent of his dropbacks have the ball out in under 2.5 seconds, the. He is a long-strider, which makes him better on the edge and in space rather than dodging defenders at the second level, but he has similar tools to Allen. This is also a big season for Miami's second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa. passing yards along with the defensive pressure he faces. Despite a solid 2022 season with 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions, Clifford is generally looked at as a limited . Sure, Mahomes throws the prettier deep ball, but if we're just assessing arm strength, Allen's cannon is indisputable. Tom Brady, Buccaneers And Football Outsiders' model suggests that Carr has 56 more completions than expected since 2018, which ranks fifth over that three-year period. T1. -- Riddick, Biggest surprise: I personally had Carr at No. East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) throws the ball as New York Jets defensive end Ronald Blair (54) pursues during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: I was surprised, in a good way, to see Jackson at No. 3. Tom Brady, Buccaneers Jaren Hall was a two-year starter at BYU and started 25 games total. -- Walder, Riser to watch: A lot of people were worried about Murray's size coming out of college. Allen excels on those throws, but what he really excels on are the even deeper throws. Aaron Rodgers, Packers -- Walder, Riser to watch: Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence didn't make the top 10 because we haven't yet seen him take an NFL snap. Brown to throw to, in addition to DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Yes, Kyler Murray, in his rookie season, was the most accurate deep passer in the 2019-20 Deep Ball Project. More NFL coverage , Stat to know: Over the past three seasons, Wilson leads all quarterbacks in completion percentage over expectation on passes with 20-plus air yards -- often via his famous rainbow-arc deep balls -- per NFL Next Gen Stats. 5. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Washington, Best of the best: For someone who could have retired a few years ago and still had a strong case as the greatest ever, Brady refuses to ever lose his edge. Lamar Jackson, Ravens The baseline for league-average play has accordingly been raised, but there are still plenty of players who are clearing it with a whole lot of room to spare. Note: For teams forced to start more than one QB, we went with the player who attempted more passes. Dak Prescott has earned layers of criticism from NFL faithful for his turnovers, but on the deep ball he got away with just one turnover all season. Jump to: -- Tannenbaum, Snubbed: The NFL Next Gen Stats model for CPOE ranks the Raiders' Derek Carr seventh in the league over the past two seasons, completing 2.6% more passes than expected. Deshaun Watson (67.0%), 5. -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Deshaun Watson*, Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray, Derek Carr, Ben Roethlisberger, Baker Mayfield, Justin Herbert, Matt Ryan, Tua Tagovailoa and Kirk Cousins. 1 here. Not every throw needs to be a fastball, and Brady has a mastery of the throws that win with touch. Best Attribute: Ball Placement/Touch. The arm strength and touch it takes to make throws like this is just outrageous, but Herbert is out here making it look easy. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. He also has the highest floor of all the quarterbacks in the draft. That resulted in 240 completions for 2,131 yards and 16 touchdowns. FREE to play! 4. Cardinals (1): Don't believe in the league's only unbeaten team? most accurate deep ball qb 2021. 2. those raiders teams were legitimately good squads. Bridgewater's 5 Inaccurate Completions were the most from any QB in the 2020-21 Deep Ball Project. Dak Prescott, Cowboys 2. Syndication Usa Today. He will vault to the top of this list over the next couple of years. . T1. Dallas is averaging 6.1 yards per carry against light boxes, per Tru Media, and 5.9 per carry on first down. Allen, with his physical size, strength and ability as both a runner and thrower, separates himself slightly from the group for me as the one guy who would scare me the most if I had to line up and defend him for a full 60 minutes. Burrow ranks fifth in the NFL with an accuracy percentage of 59.01% after ranking 31st last season with 32.43%. Purely on mechanics, Burrow should not be any lower than Allen (tied for seventh) here. Quarterbacks won't always be able to sit in the pocket and throw darts. The Bears quarterback completed 18 of his 43 attempts for 508 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. In the black boxes are the Accuracy Percentage numbers. Josh Allen, Bills While Jackson is the NFL's most dynamic player when he breaks contain, Mahomes' ability to threaten defenses in scramble situations, both as a runner and a thrower, puts him at the top of my list. 1. Justin Herbert, Chargers The words that come to mind with this category are competitiveness and leadership. Matt Ryan, Falcons Finally, we pointed out snubs who probably should have cracked each ranking. The real question is just how high he'll be ranked. 9. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: Carr isn't a gunslinger, but he throws one of the most catchable balls in the NFL. Taysom Hill, Saints 6. He's 91 of 124 for 983 yards and eight touchdowns on outside-the-numbers throws overall, giving him the most completions and third-most touchdowns in the league on these plays. But Brady is breaking it. -- Walder, Riser to watch: Jackson has clearly proven himself to already be one of the best in the league at avoiding pressure by escaping out of the pocket, and his mobility is unmatched. Forcing a pass into double coverage or attempting too many low-percentage plays can get you into trouble in a hurry. He absolutely has all the intangibles to be the leader of the Dolphins and can definitely command a huddle and a locker room, but the only real way to completely win over your teammates is to go out and do it on Sundays. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. 7. 3. Mahomes not only can throw the football about as far as he'd like, but he can throw it where he'd like it to go. 10. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. The other three quarterbacks I listed rank 10th, 11th, and seventh in the NFL respectively in Intended Air Yards per Pass Attempt (IAY/PA), meaning they throw the ball deep pretty often. 8. But according to NFL Next Gen Stats, another quarterback led the league in expected points added per play and completion percentage over expectation on throws on the run over that span: the Saints' Jameis Winston, who missed our top 10. 3. And his 27.9% deep ball completion percentage from last . His 11.7-yard average depth of target led all passers in the Power 5. Although his overall accuracy rate increased by a modest three percentage points last season vs. 2020, his accuracy in the red zone jumped from 69% in 2020 to. He doesn't shy away from contact. 10. Every detail counts for the best to ever do it, and he knows the difference that every inch makes on ball placement. Toughness rolls into compete level a bit, but our analysts looked at a quarterback's bounce-back and resilience here, along with how well he can take a hit. He went 25-of-59 for 842 yards, seven touchdowns and only three picks. Earlier this week, PFF ranked the 2021 starting quarterbacks' deep passing by various metrics, and Garoppolo came in at No. 9. When you need a big throw to be made under challenging circumstances, these two are who you want slinging it. The only thing pulling him down is his 29th-ranked turnover-worthy play rate: Only Washington's Taylor Heinicke threw more turnover-worthy passes on deep throws last season. These statistics provide a detailed view of how a QB accumulates. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Stat to know: Over the past three seasons, Wilson leads all quarterbacks in completion percentage over expectation on passes with 20-plus air yards -- often via his famous rainbow-arc deep balls . It's a passing league, there are seemingly more great pass-catchers than at any time in recent memory, offensive coordinators are getting more and more creative in scheming their players open, and the league has pretty much mandated bone-crushing hits out of the game where QBs are concerned. The 2021 NFL MVP ranked top-10 in passer rating and accuracy-plus percentage. "He threw an accurate deep ball 37.9% of the time, which ranked . But Herbert will also continue to climb the rankings, and Cincinnati's Joe Burrow -- if healthy -- should work into the top 10 in this category soon. According to Madden 23 , Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has the best arm in the NFL. T4. Jimmy Garoppolo (67.6%), 4. Justin Herbert, Chargers One aspect is sacks taken relative to pressures faced. -- Riddick, Biggest surprise: Allen has to be higher on the list given his noticeable development as a pocket thrower. Hopefully some new guidance under coach Arthur Smith unlocks Ryan for a late-career surge. These statistics provide a detailed view of how a QB accumulates FitzMagic is indestructible. Justin Herbert (66.9%), 1. Rankings season is in full swing at PFF, and analysts are working around the clock to bring you lists on every measurable statistic that we track. The Chiefs' signal-caller ranks third all time in NFL history in passing yards per attempt. 8. Allen finished the season with 77 deep-ball attempts, totaling 1,051 deep-passing yards and finishing fifth among starters in PFF grade throwing deep. On top of his nimble footwork, Rodgers has the arm strength and ability to throw from so many angles that he doesn't need a whole bunch of space to launch the ball downfield. But there's a reason that this kid was the consensus No. 8. Aaron Rodgers, Packers -- Kimes, Stat to know: How does one quantify pocket presence? And how quickly can he get through his progressions? Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs From a pure mechanics standpoint, you could make an argument that Prescott could jump in front of Mahomes and even Rodgers, who both lean more on their natural throwing ability. 9. The clunkiness of Baltimore's passing game last season is much more a product of the lackluster receiving talent and Greg Roman's stale concepts than Jackson's inability to see the field. Russell Wilson, Seahawks They also need to throw with anticipation, leading a receiver into the catch and navigating defensive coverages. T8. State of the 2022 Los Angeles Rams: Repeat within reach? 1st out of 31 quarterbacks. But as his pre-snap command at the line of scrimmage has grown, his tendency to play with more anticipation has grown with it. But he's not just getting rid of the ball quickly. Hall is accurate and long. Matt Ryan, Falcons Derek Carr, Raiders The Vikings quarterback completed 166 of his 218 short passing attempts for 1,292 yards, 11 touchdowns and a 101.3 passer rating. Russell Wilson, Seahawks. But a pair of rookies -- Lawrence and the 49ers' Trey Lance -- have a good case for at least the No. Because he has outstanding football instincts and knows how to avoid taking the big hit. If Mahomes' receivers consistently have more separation when targeted, that speaks to his ability to see and target the correct option more often. Hell yeah he threw some nice passes but, Those wins tho. 1. Given that Hall will likely start as the backup quarterback behind Kirk Cousins, this experience should help him if he ever gets thrust into unexpected playing time. guys who are playing the best this season, 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Williams No. If I caught that correctly it was 40-4-1 AFL + 66-16-1 NFL. But arm strength without accuracy is fool's gold. He went 31-of-64 for 1,051 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions throwing deep in 2021. Dak Prescott, Cowboys -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Justin Fields, Trey Lance, Mitchell Trubisky, Sam Darnold, Gardner Minshew II, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Baker Mayfield, Marcus Mariota and Jacoby Brissett. Did Pats make Mac Jones happy? 7. What's most incredible is how many of these quick-strike throws are also coming off of play-action fakes. We also gave a big stat to know for each category and spun it forward with a rising QB to watch for each trait. 9. Here are the top 10: 1. This category is all about the biggest arms in the NFL. -- Walder, Riser to watch: Herbert has as much raw talent as nearly anyone else in the league. -- Walder, With our live draft lobby, you can be drafting a team in minutes. Advanced stats offer insight into a Quarterback's performance beyond the standard box score. 6. Aaron Rodgers, Packers Just look at some of these bombs. We may receive a commission for purchases made through these links. -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Ryan Tannehill, Joe Burrow, Kirk Cousins, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyler Murray, Teddy Bridgewater, Baker Mayfield and Zach Wilson. The deep ball threat completely goes away when Goff is under pressure. No one had a lower ratio of sacks to pressures than Mahomes (0.10). T10. 7. The chemistry these two have is unmatched. Ryan Tannehill, Titans He's 97 of 122 for 812 yards, six touchdowns and just one interception on throws inside of 10 yards, with the league's sixth-best passer rating and second-best EPA per pass average on those plays. The best quarterbacks minimize the degree to which their performance drops off, either by getting rid of the ball quickly and with pinpoint accuracy, or by using their athleticism to make plays outside of structure. His average of 7.2 yards per short passing attempt tied for third among the 37 eligible quarterbacks. Deshaun Watson, Texans* 5. 1 deep passer of this year's study, but with his name erased as to not spoil who he is. Mahomes leads the NFL with 41 throws from outside the pocket, 29 completions from outside the pocket, 406 yards on throws from outside the pocket, and seven touchdowns from outside the pocket. Even at 44 years old, he still has a knack for being able to take his feet out of the equation when necessary and make a tough throw with only his upper body, and often with defenders in his face. He made the right decision not to rush into the NFL in 2021, because he has. Dak Prescott, Cowboys Murray ranked top-10 in completion percentage, yards per attempt, passer rating and yards on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield, notably leading starting quarterbacks in PFF grade on those throws. Receivers like Tyreek Hill and an offensive mind like Andy Reid's are surely factors there. 6. Brady completed 35 deep attempts for 1,048 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions.
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